May 11, 2026 5:14 AM EST

NHL: Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens 5/12/2026

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The Buffalo Sabres are slight 52.9 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Sabres are favored despite being projected for 26 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Canadiens. The Sabres goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.9% compared to the Canadiens goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Alex Lyon 24, Jakub Dobes 23 SHOTS: Tage Thompson 3.9, Cole Caufield 3.6 GOALS: Tage Thompson 0.56, Cole Caufield 0.52 PTS: Tage Thompson has a 59% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nick Suzuki has a 52% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Montreal Canadiens

Buffalo SabresRECORDMontreal CanadiensRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road27-18, 60% 970Record at Home26-19, 58% 153Buffalo Sabres
VS Montreal Canadiens3-4, 43% -134VS Buffalo Sabres4-3, 57% 63Montreal Canadiens
vs Team .500 or Better27-25, 52% 167vs Team .500 or Better28-26, 52% 337Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog17-17, 50% 280Record As Home Favorite18-15, 55% -248Buffalo Sabres
After 1 or More Days Off46-32, 59% -4164After 1 or More Days Off45-31, 59% -3154Montreal Canadiens

PAST 30 DAYS

Buffalo SabresRECORDMontreal CanadiensRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-1, 80% 223Record at Home2-3, 40% -128Buffalo Sabres
VS Montreal Canadiens1-2, 33% -121VS Buffalo Sabres2-1, 67% 81Montreal Canadiens
vs Team .500 or Better1-3, 25% -221vs Team Under .5001-1, 50% 0Montreal Canadiens
Record As Road Underdog2-1, 67% 87Record As Home Favorite1-1, 50% -29Buffalo Sabres
After 1 or More Days Off6-5, 55% -969After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -37Montreal Canadiens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Buffalo SabresRECORDMontreal CanadiensRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-20, 56% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME30-17, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-12, 57% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home42-33, 56% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road49-28, 64% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 26-19, 58% +192 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 22-23, 49% -135 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 3-2, 60% -131 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 2-3, 40% -80

MONEY LINE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 26-19, 58% +199 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 24-21, 53% 31 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 4-1, 80% +223 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 2-3, 40% -80

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 25-20, 56% + 275 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 22-23, 49% -298 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 2-3, 40% -118 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 264

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