April 08, 2026 4:46 PM EST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders 4/9/2026

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The New York Islanders are heavy 66.5 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Islanders are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +7 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 30 shots on goal vs 23 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Islanders goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.9% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Joseph Woll 27, Ilya Sorokin 21 SHOTS: William Nylander 3.5, Bo Horvat 3.6 GOALS: William Nylander 0.49, Bo Horvat 0.83 PTS: Matthew Knies has a 48% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Mathew Barzal has a 56% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Islanders

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-25, 36% -723Record at Home21-16, 57% 315New York Islanders
VS New York Islanders0-2, 0% -200VS Toronto Maple Leafs2-0, 100% 178New York Islanders
vs Team .500 or Better19-32, 37% -1131vs Team Under .50016-13, 55% 61New York Islanders
Record As Road Underdog11-19, 37% -357Record As Home Favorite12-16, 43% -733Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off26-37, 41% -3972After 1 or More Days Off32-31, 51% -1742New York Islanders

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-6, 33% -87Record at Home4-4, 50% -91Toronto Maple Leafs
VS New York Islanders0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 88New York Islanders
vs Team Under .5002-3, 40% -55vs Team .500 or Better1-6, 14% -520Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -87Record As Home Favorite3-4, 43% -195Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off3-7, 30% -489After 1 or More Days Off4-6, 40% -734Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York IslandersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD28-11, 72% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME18-23, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-24, 33% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home42-19, 69% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road32-30, 52% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 16-23, 41% -297 New York Islanders Home Games: 17-20, 46% -197 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-7, 22% -249 New York Islanders Home Games: 3-5, 38% -205

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 18-21, 46% -727 New York Islanders Home Games: 13-24, 35% +-1232 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-5, 44% -259 New York Islanders Home Games: 2-6, 25% -473

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 17-22, 44% -653 New York Islanders Home Games: 15-22, 41% -835 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-5, 44% -136 New York Islanders Home Games: 4-4, 50% -36

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