The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 59.3 percent favorites over the Montreal Canadiens. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +0 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 26 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Canadiens. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.5% compared to the Canadiens goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 23, Sam Montembeault 23 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.9, Cole Caufield 3.6 GOALS: Jake Guentzel 0.54, Cole Caufield 0.48 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 62% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nick Suzuki has a 49% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-16, 59% 267 | Record at Home | 23-16, 59% 184 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Montreal Canadiens | 2-1, 67% 34 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-2, 33% -59 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 29-20, 59% 130 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-24, 50% 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record as Road Favorite | 14-13, 52% -360 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-2, 75% 403 | Montreal Canadiens |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 41-22, 65% -4166 | After 1 or More Days Off | 38-25, 60% -3020 | Montreal Canadiens |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-3, 50% -126 | Record at Home | 6-3, 67% 142 | Montreal Canadiens |
| VS Montreal Canadiens | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-0, 100% 141 | Montreal Canadiens |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% -25 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-1, 89% 701 | Montreal Canadiens |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-3, 50% -126 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-0, 100% 103 | Montreal Canadiens |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 8-5, 62% -965 | After 1 or More Days Off | 10-2, 83% -535 | Montreal Canadiens |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Montreal Canadiens | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-15, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 26-13, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-1, 83% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-6, 14% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-19, 46% Over | UNDER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 39-23, 63% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 43-20, 68% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 24-15, 62% -425 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 20-19, 51% +45 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-4, 33% -304 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 4-5, 44% -44
MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 26-13, 67% +796 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 22-17, 56% 211 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-2, 67% +70 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 3-6, 33% -294
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 17-22, 44% -653 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 17-22, 44% -653 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-5, 17% -409 Montreal Canadiens Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 55
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
