April 20, 2026 7:35 AM EST

NHL: Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres 4/21/2026

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The Buffalo Sabres are solid 59.1 percent favorites over the Boston Bruins. The Sabres are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 30 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Bruins. The Sabres goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.8% compared to the Bruins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jeremy Swayman 27, UkkoPekka Luukkonen 23 SHOTS: David Pastrnak 4.1, Tage Thompson 4.1 GOALS: David Pastrnak 0.83, Tage Thompson 0.8 PTS: David Pastrnak has a 70% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tage Thompson has a 61% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Buffalo Sabres

Boston BruinsRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-26, 38% -567Record at Home27-15, 64% 777Buffalo Sabres
VS Buffalo Sabres3-2, 60% 90VS Boston Bruins2-3, 40% -164Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better26-25, 51% 266vs Team .500 or Better26-23, 53% 387Buffalo Sabres
Record As Road Underdog14-22, 39% -335Record As Home Favorite19-11, 63% 213Buffalo Sabres
After 1 or More Days Off37-33, 53% -2662After 1 or More Days Off42-28, 60% -3411Boston Bruins

PAST 30 DAYS

Boston BruinsRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-5, 44% 43Record at Home5-3, 62% 65Buffalo Sabres
VS Buffalo Sabres1-1, 50% 30VS Boston Bruins1-1, 50% -33Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better3-5, 38% -219vs Team .500 or Better2-3, 40% -137Buffalo Sabres
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 143Record As Home Favorite4-2, 67% 69Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off4-6, 40% -716After 1 or More Days Off6-5, 55% -931Boston Bruins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston BruinsRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-17, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-18, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-4, 56% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-20, 38% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-12, 57% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home42-25, 63% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road37-30, 55% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Boston Bruins Road Games: 18-24, 43% -820 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 25-17, 60% +817 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Bruins Road Games: 2-7, 22% -473 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 4-4, 50% -38

MONEY LINE - Boston Bruins Road Games: 21-21, 50% -664 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 27-14, 66% 713 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Bruins Road Games: 3-6, 33% -423 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 5-3, 62% +55

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Boston Bruins Road Games: 20-22, 48% -380 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 25-17, 60% + 575 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Bruins Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 246 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 155

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