April 02, 2026 3:58 AM EST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. San Jose Sharks 4/2/2026

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The San Jose Sharks are slight 52.3 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Sharks are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.2% compared to the Sharks goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Joseph Woll 26, Yaroslav Askarov 21 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 3.8, Macklin Celebrini 3.4 GOALS: William Nylander 0.55, Macklin Celebrini 0.66 PTS: Auston Matthews has a 65% chance of scoring at least 1 point and William Eklund has a 45% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Jose Sharks

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDSan Jose SharksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-23, 36% -676Record at Home17-17, 50% 459San Jose Sharks
VS San Jose Sharks0-1, 0% -100VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 161San Jose Sharks
vs Team Under .50016-11, 59% 172vs Team Under .50015-15, 50% 517San Jose Sharks
Record As Road Underdog10-17, 37% -310Record As Home Favorite2-5, 29% -343Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off25-35, 42% -3925After 1 or More Days Off29-29, 50% +514San Jose Sharks

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDSan Jose SharksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-6, 25% -240Record at Home1-4, 20% -284Toronto Maple Leafs
VS San Jose Sharks0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-0, 100% 210vs Team Under .5000-0 No GamesToronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog2-6, 25% -240Record As Home Favorite0-2, 0% -200San Jose Sharks
After 1 or More Days Off2-7, 22% -642After 1 or More Days Off4-7, 36% -148San Jose Sharks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDSan Jose SharksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-10, 72% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME22-15, 59% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON15-13, 54% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home41-17, 71% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road30-23, 57% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 15-21, 42% -250 San Jose Sharks Home Games: 21-13, 62% +708 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 1-7, 12% -402 San Jose Sharks Home Games: 1-4, 20% -284

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 16-20, 44% -762 San Jose Sharks Home Games: 18-16, 53% +-277 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-6, 25% -494 San Jose Sharks Home Games: 3-2, 60% +59

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 16-20, 44% -544 San Jose Sharks Home Games: 18-16, 53% + 38 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-5, 38% -227 San Jose Sharks Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 264

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