April 13, 2026 5:12 AM EST

NHL: Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 4/13/2026

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 59.7 percent favorites over the Detroit Red Wings. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Red Wings. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.7% compared to the Red Wings goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: John Gibson 26, Andrei Vasilevskiy 22 SHOTS: Dylan Larkin 4.6, Nikita Kucherov 4 GOALS: Dylan Larkin 0.49, Nikita Kucherov 0.51 PTS: Patrick Kane has a 55% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 63% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Red Wings

Detroit Red WingsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road20-19, 51% 234Record at Home25-14, 64% 164Detroit Red Wings
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-2, 33% -89VS Detroit Red Wings2-1, 67% 90Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better20-30, 40% -968vs Team .500 or Better30-21, 59% 105Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog16-16, 50% 220Record As Home Favorite23-14, 62% -44Detroit Red Wings
After 1 or More Days Off38-29, 57% -2887After 1 or More Days Off42-23, 65% -4341Detroit Red Wings

PAST 30 DAYS

Detroit Red WingsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-3, 40% -77Record at Home5-3, 62% -5Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Detroit Red Wings0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -205vs Team Under .5002-2, 50% -106Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog2-2, 50% 23Record As Home Favorite5-3, 62% -5Detroit Red Wings
After 1 or More Days Off5-7, 42% -890After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -991Detroit Red Wings

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit Red WingsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-19, 51% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-17, 59% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-14, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home38-26, 59% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road39-25, 61% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 18-21, 46% -1028 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 21-18, 54% +224 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 2-3, 40% -170 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-6, 25% -219

MONEY LINE - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 21-17, 55% +88 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 24-15, 62% +-8 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 3-2, 60% +50 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-3, 62% -5

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 20-19, 51% -80 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 17-22, 44% -653 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 264 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 155

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