April 08, 2026 4:46 PM EST

NHL: Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 4/11/2026

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Pittsburgh Penguins are solid 64.1 percent favorites over the Washington Capitals. The Penguins are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Capitals. The Penguins goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.7% compared to the Capitals goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Logan Thompson 24, Arturs Silovs (GK) 22 SHOTS: Alex Ovechkin 3.7, Rickard Rakell 3.5 GOALS: Alex Ovechkin 0.43, Rickard Rakell 0.53 PTS: Pierre-Luc Dubois has a 44% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Sidney Crosby has a 56% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Penguins

Washington CapitalsRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-23, 39% -712Record at Home20-20, 50% -436Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Pittsburgh Penguins0-1, 0% -100VS Washington Capitals1-0, 100% 75Pittsburgh Penguins
vs Team .500 or Better23-26, 47% -473vs Team .500 or Better23-26, 47% -191Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog11-15, 42% -213Record As Home Favorite16-13, 55% -160Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off35-30, 54% -3705After 1 or More Days Off33-30, 52% -2427Pittsburgh Penguins

PAST 30 DAYS

Washington CapitalsRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-4, 43% 31Record at Home4-3, 57% -57Washington Capitals
VS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesVS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better7-6, 54% 177vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -110Washington Capitals
Record As Road Underdog3-2, 60% 231Record As Home Favorite4-1, 80% 143Washington Capitals
After 1 or More Days Off7-5, 58% -643After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -187Pittsburgh Penguins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington CapitalsRECORDPittsburgh PenguinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-14, 63% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-15, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-9, 64% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home35-25, 58% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road42-20, 68% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Washington Capitals Road Games: 17-21, 45% -592 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 16-24, 40% -978 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 3-4, 43% +9 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 4-3, 57% -48

MONEY LINE - Washington Capitals Road Games: 19-19, 50% -268 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 22-18, 55% +-68 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 1-6, 14% -510 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 6-1, 86% +307

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Washington Capitals Road Games: 19-19, 50% -171 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 27-13, 68% + 1157 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Capitals Road Games: 2-5, 29% -318 Pittsburgh Penguins Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 64

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW