April 08, 2026 4:46 PM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins 4/11/2026

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The Boston Bruins are slight 50.1 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Bruins are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Lightning. The Bruins goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.9% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 22, Jeremy Swayman 24 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.9, David Pastrnak 4.3 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.51, David Pastrnak 0.82 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 68% chance of scoring at least 1 point and David Pastrnak has a 70% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Bruins

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-16, 59% 267Record at Home28-11, 72% 1486Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins3-0, 100% 175VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-3, 0% -300Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better29-20, 59% 130vs Team .500 or Better27-23, 54% 604Boston Bruins
Record as Road Favorite14-13, 52% -360Record as Home Underdog10-4, 71% 800Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off41-22, 65% -4166After 1 or More Days Off36-31, 54% -2387Boston Bruins

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -126Record at Home4-2, 67% 111Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins1-0, 100% 58VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better6-4, 60% -25vs Team .500 or Better4-5, 44% -111Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite3-3, 50% -126Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 93Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -965After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -673Boston Bruins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-15, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-16, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-1, 83% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-20, 38% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home39-23, 63% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road39-25, 61% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 24-15, 62% -425 Boston Bruins Home Games: 15-24, 38% -929 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-4, 33% -304 Boston Bruins Home Games: 2-4, 33% -255

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 26-13, 67% +796 Boston Bruins Home Games: 14-25, 36% +-1310 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-2, 67% +70 Boston Bruins Home Games: 2-4, 33% -255

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 17-22, 44% -653 Boston Bruins Home Games: 21-18, 54% + 111 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-5, 17% -409 Boston Bruins Home Games: 6-0, 100% + 546

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