April 08, 2026 4:46 PM EST

NHL: Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 4/11/2026

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 55.4 percent favorites over the Florida Panthers. The Maple Leafs are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 29 shots for the Panthers. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 92% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sergei Bobrovsky 22, Joseph Woll 27 SHOTS: Sam Bennett 4.3, William Nylander 3.5 GOALS: Carter Verhaeghe 0.41, Matthew Knies 0.59 PTS: Matthew Tkachuk has a 44% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Matthew Knies has a 55% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Florida Panthers

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-23, 41% -687Record at Home18-20, 47% -673Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-2, 33% -134VS Florida Panthers2-1, 67% 130Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team Under .50011-14, 44% -560vs Team .500 or Better19-32, 37% -1131Florida Panthers
Record As Road Underdog12-10, 55% 325Record As Home Favorite14-11, 56% -146Florida Panthers
After 1 or More Days Off33-32, 51% -3524After 1 or More Days Off26-37, 41% -3972Florida Panthers

PAST 30 DAYS

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-8, 11% -672Record at Home2-2, 50% -18Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Florida Panthers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5003-4, 43% -159vs Team .500 or Better3-5, 38% -50Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog1-5, 17% -372Record As Home Favorite1-0, 100% 90Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -479After 1 or More Days Off3-7, 30% -489Florida Panthers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Florida PanthersRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-13, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME28-11, 72% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home39-25, 61% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road42-19, 69% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 24-15, 62% +1011 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 17-21, 45% -510 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 7-2, 78% +411 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-2, 50% -20

MONEY LINE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 21-18, 54% -136 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 22-16, 58% 75 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 7-2, 78% +271 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-1, 75% +128

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Florida Panthers Road Games: 15-24, 38% -1035 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 15-23, 39% -935 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 3-6, 33% -327 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-2, 50% -18

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