March 07, 2026 4:14 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Buffalo Sabres 3/8/2026

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The Buffalo Sabres are slight 51.5 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Sabres are favored despite being projected for 27 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Lightning. The Sabres goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.6% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 24, UkkoPekka Luukkonen 25 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.7, Tage Thompson 4 GOALS: Nikita Kucherov 0.45, Tage Thompson 0.66 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 61% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tage Thompson has a 59% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Buffalo Sabres

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road19-10, 66% 624Record at Home17-11, 61% 450Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Buffalo Sabres1-1, 50% -57VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-1, 50% 84Buffalo Sabres
vs Team .500 or Better22-12, 65% 490vs Team .500 or Better16-17, 48% 37Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite10-7, 59% -3Record as Home Underdog6-3, 67% 462Buffalo Sabres
After 1 or More Days Off32-15, 68% -2932After 1 or More Days Off29-22, 57% -1874Buffalo Sabres

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-1, 0% -100Record at Home0-1, 0% -100EVEN
VS Buffalo Sabres0-1, 0% -100VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 184Buffalo Sabres
vs Team .500 or Better0-2, 0% -200vs Team .500 or Better1-1, 50% 84Buffalo Sabres
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesN/A
After 1 or More Days Off2-1, 67% -212After 1 or More Days Off2-1, 67% -289Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDBuffalo SabresRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-13, 55% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-13, 59% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-0, 100% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-2, 33% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-12, 57% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home25-17, 60% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road29-17, 63% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 19-10, 66% -372 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 18-10, 64% +798 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 1-0, 100% +103

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 19-10, 66% +549 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 17-10, 63% 396 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 1-0, 100% +103

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 16-13, 55% + 156 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 18-10, 64% + 638 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-0, 100% + 91 Buffalo Sabres Home Games: 0-1, 0% -100

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