The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 53.8 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 21, Dennis Hildeby 26 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.9, Auston Matthews 3.8 GOALS: Nikita Kucherov 0.45, Matthew Knies 0.62 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 62% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 64% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-10, 66% 624 | Record at Home | 16-16, 50% -455 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 1-1, 50% -41 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-1, 50% -12 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 16-8, 67% 354 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-23, 34% -1137 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record as Road Favorite | 10-7, 59% -3 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-6, 33% -319 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 32-15, 68% -2932 | After 1 or More Days Off | 23-27, 46% -3183 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 0-1, 0% -100 | Record at Home | 0-1, 0% -100 | EVEN |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 1-0, 100% 59 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-1, 0% -100 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-0, 100% 112 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-2, 0% -200 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-0 No Games | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 2-1, 67% -212 | After 1 or More Days Off | 0-2, 0% -200 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-13, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-8, 71% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-0, 100% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-0, 100% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 13-15, 46% Over | N/A |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 25-17, 60% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 33-14, 70% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 19-10, 66% -372 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 14-18, 44% -497 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100
MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 19-10, 66% +549 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 17-15, 53% +-229 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 0-1, 0% -100
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 16-13, 55% + 156 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 12-20, 38% -908 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-0, 100% + 91 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 0-1, 0% -100
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