March 04, 2026 4:03 PM EST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Rangers 3/5/2026

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 56.4 percent favorites over the New York Rangers. The Maple Leafs are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Rangers. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 92.3% compared to the Rangers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 90.2%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Dennis Hildeby 26, Igor Shesterkin 23 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 3.4, Vincent Trocheck 3.2 GOALS: William Nylander 0.4, Vincent Trocheck 0.36 PTS: Auston Matthews has a 55% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Adam Fox has a 49% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road11-17, 39% -436Record at Home7-20, 26% -1421Toronto Maple Leafs
VS New York Rangers1-0, 100% 70VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-1, 0% -100Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team Under .50015-10, 60% 246vs Team .500 or Better14-24, 37% -960Toronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog8-11, 42% -70Record As Home Favorite4-12, 25% -935Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off23-27, 46% -3183After 1 or More Days Off23-27, 46% -2348New York Rangers

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-2, 50% 47Record at Home1-2, 33% -89Toronto Maple Leafs
VS New York Rangers0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 147vs Team Under .5000-0 No GamesToronto Maple Leafs
Record As Road Underdog1-2, 33% -41Record As Home Favorite0-1, 0% -100Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off1-2, 33% -288After 1 or More Days Off1-2, 33% -89New York Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDNew York RangersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD20-8, 71% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-15, 53% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-0, 100% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-0 No GamesOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON9-17, 35% OverUNDER
Opp Averages <2.8 G at Home6-7, 46% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road22-27, 45% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 14-14, 50% +152 New York Rangers Home Games: 13-14, 48% -126 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-2, 50% -41 New York Rangers Home Games: 1-2, 33% -86

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 14-14, 50% -268 New York Rangers Home Games: 16-11, 59% 277 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-2, 50% -53 New York Rangers Home Games: 2-1, 67% +61

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 13-15, 46% -317 New York Rangers Home Games: 19-8, 70% + 929 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 New York Rangers Home Games: 3-0, 100% + 273

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