March 04, 2026 4:03 PM EST

NHL: Ottawa Senators vs. Calgary Flames 3/5/2026

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The Ottawa Senators are solid 63.4 percent favorites over the Calgary Flames. The Senators are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Flames. The Senators goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 92.5% compared to the Flames goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 91.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Linus Ullmark 23, Dustin Wolf 27 SHOTS: Brady Tkachuk 4.1, Nazem Kadri 3.3 GOALS: Shane Pinto 0.31, Nazem Kadri 0.24 PTS: Jake Sanderson has a 42% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nazem Kadri has a 40% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Ottawa Senators

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDCalgary FlamesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-15, 50% -57Record at Home15-14, 52% 14Calgary Flames
VS Calgary Flames1-0, 100% 67VS Ottawa Senators0-1, 0% -100Ottawa Senators
vs Team Under .50014-11, 56% 45vs Team Under .50011-20, 35% -758Ottawa Senators
Record as Road Favorite8-4, 67% 261Record as Home Underdog7-6, 54% 162Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off24-26, 48% -3384After 1 or More Days Off21-31, 40% -2395Calgary Flames

PAST 30 DAYS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDCalgary FlamesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-1, 75% 147Record at Home1-1, 50% 21Ottawa Senators
VS Calgary Flames0-0 No GamesVS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-0, 100% 88vs Team Under .5002-2, 50% 28Ottawa Senators
Record as Road Favorite3-0, 100% 247Record as Home Underdog1-1, 50% 21Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off3-1, 75% -347After 1 or More Days Off2-2, 50% +28Calgary Flames

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDCalgary FlamesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-11, 63% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-14, 53% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-2, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-3, 0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON9-17, 35% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home24-19, 56% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road23-20, 53% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 16-14, 53% -67 Calgary Flames Home Games: 15-14, 52% +60 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 1-3, 25% -255 Calgary Flames Home Games: 1-1, 50% -12

MONEY LINE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 17-13, 57% +64 Calgary Flames Home Games: 13-15, 46% +-269 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 1-3, 25% -255 Calgary Flames Home Games: 1-1, 50% -12

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 13-17, 43% -517 Calgary Flames Home Games: 14-15, 48% -226 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 2-2, 50% -18 Calgary Flames Home Games: 0-2, 0% -200

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