March 04, 2026 4:03 PM EST

NHL: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Detroit Red Wings 3/4/2026

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The Detroit Red Wings are solid 61.6 percent favorites over the Vegas Golden Knights. The Red Wings are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +0 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 25 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Golden Knights. The Red Wings goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.6% compared to the Golden Knights goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.3%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Adin Hill 22, John Gibson 23 SHOTS: Jack Eichel 3.6, Dylan Larkin 4.5 GOALS: Tomas Hertl 0.54, Dylan Larkin 0.59 PTS: Mitch Marner has a 63% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Lucas Raymond has a 61% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Red Wings

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDDetroit Red WingsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-17, 45% -604Record at Home18-12, 60% 344Detroit Red Wings
VS Detroit Red Wings1-0, 100% 56VS Vegas Golden Knights0-1, 0% -100Vegas Golden Knights
vs Team .500 or Better11-20, 35% -1289vs Team Under .50020-7, 74% 1242Detroit Red Wings
Record As Road Underdog1-4, 20% -297Record As Home Favorite11-11, 50% -319Vegas Golden Knights
After 1 or More Days Off22-28, 44% -4082After 1 or More Days Off31-18, 63% -1420Detroit Red Wings

PAST 30 DAYS

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDDetroit Red WingsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-2, 33% -110Record at Home0-0 No GamesDetroit Red Wings
VS Detroit Red Wings0-0 No GamesVS Vegas Golden Knights0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better0-2, 0% -200vs Team .500 or Better2-2, 50% 89Detroit Red Wings
Record As Road Underdog0-1, 0% -100Record As Home Favorite0-0 No GamesDetroit Red Wings
After 1 or More Days Off2-2, 50% -334After 1 or More Days Off2-2, 50% +89Detroit Red Wings

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDDetroit Red WingsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-16, 48% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-14, 53% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-2, 33% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-3, 25% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-14, 46% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home27-16, 63% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road27-19, 59% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 15-16, 48% -1285 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 17-13, 57% +326 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 3-0, 100% +212

MONEY LINE - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 15-16, 48% -379 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 16-14, 53% +-63 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 3-0, 100% +302

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 14-17, 45% -426 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 14-16, 47% -326 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 1-2, 33% -109 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 0-0

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