March 03, 2026 6:00 PM EST

NHL: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins 3/3/2026

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The Pittsburgh Penguins are slight 54.2 percent favorites over the Boston Bruins. The Penguins are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +6 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Bruins. The Bruins goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.7% compared to the Penguins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Stuart Skinner 22, Jeremy Swayman 28 SHOTS: Rickard Rakell 3.5, David Pastrnak 4.2 GOALS: Rickard Rakell 0.87, David Pastrnak 0.91 PTS: Rickard Rakell has a 51% chance of scoring at least 1 point and David Pastrnak has a 72% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Bruins

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-13, 55% 538Record at Home22-9, 71% 1213Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins0-1, 0% -100VS Pittsburgh Penguins1-0, 100% 87Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better14-13, 52% 176vs Team .500 or Better15-15, 50% 150Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog12-9, 57% 644Record As Home Favorite13-5, 72% 506Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off27-21, 56% -1940After 1 or More Days Off28-24, 54% -1452Boston Bruins

PAST 30 DAYS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-2, 33% -97Record at Home1-0, 100% 88Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-1, 50% -37vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -112Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog1-1, 50% 3Record As Home Favorite1-0, 100% 88Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off2-2, 50% -160After 1 or More Days Off1-3, 25% -388Pittsburgh Penguins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-14, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-11, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-1, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-1, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-20, 38% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home28-14, 67% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road27-19, 59% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 16-13, 55% +176 Boston Bruins Home Games: 12-19, 39% -656 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 1-2, 33% -97 Boston Bruins Home Games: 1-0, 100% +88

MONEY LINE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 14-15, 48% -434 Boston Bruins Home Games: 11-20, 35% +-1037 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 1-2, 33% -97 Boston Bruins Home Games: 1-0, 100% +88

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 15-14, 52% -35 Boston Bruins Home Games: 15-16, 48% -235 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 1-2, 33% -109 Boston Bruins Home Games: 1-0, 100% + 91

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