March 23, 2026 11:41 AM EST

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Boston Bruins 3/24/2026

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The Boston Bruins are heavy 65.7 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Bruins are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +5 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 30 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Bruins goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.8% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Joseph Woll 26, Jeremy Swayman 22 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 3.9, David Pastrnak 4.3 GOALS: Matthew Knies 0.61, David Pastrnak 1.03 PTS: Auston Matthews has a 65% chance of scoring at least 1 point and David Pastrnak has a 71% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Bruins

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-22, 35% -726Record at Home26-10, 72% 1417Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins0-2, 0% -200VS Toronto Maple Leafs2-0, 100% 262Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better14-28, 33% -1378vs Team Under .50021-13, 62% 807Boston Bruins
Record As Road Underdog9-16, 36% -360Record As Home Favorite17-6, 74% 710Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off24-34, 41% -3975After 1 or More Days Off34-27, 56% -1818Boston Bruins

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-7, 12% -490Record at Home5-1, 83% 292Boston Bruins
VS Boston Bruins0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-8, 11% -708vs Team Under .5003-2, 60% 77Boston Bruins
Record As Road Underdog1-7, 12% -490Record As Home Favorite5-1, 83% 292Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off1-9, 10% -992After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -554Boston Bruins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDBoston BruinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-10, 71% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-13, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-20, 38% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home39-17, 70% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road32-23, 58% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 15-19, 44% -50 Boston Bruins Home Games: 14-22, 39% -805 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 1-7, 12% -402 Boston Bruins Home Games: 3-3, 50% -61

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 16-18, 47% -562 Boston Bruins Home Games: 13-23, 36% +-1186 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-5, 38% -335 Boston Bruins Home Games: 3-3, 50% -61

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 14-20, 41% -726 Boston Bruins Home Games: 18-18, 50% -162 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-6, 25% -418 Boston Bruins Home Games: 4-2, 67% + 164

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