March 16, 2026 9:18 AM EST

NHL: Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals 3/18/2026

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The Washington Capitals are solid 58.4 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Capitals are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Senators. The Capitals goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.9% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Linus Ullmark 22, Logan Thompson 26 SHOTS: Brady Tkachuk 4.3, Alex Ovechkin 3.7 GOALS: Shane Pinto 0.32, Alex Ovechkin 0.54 PTS: Jake Sanderson has a 41% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Alexei Protas has a 42% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Ottawa Senators

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road18-16, 53% 38Record at Home20-15, 57% -6Ottawa Senators
VS Washington Capitals2-0, 100% 193VS Ottawa Senators0-2, 0% -200Ottawa Senators
vs Team Under .50020-11, 65% 481vs Team .500 or Better16-24, 40% -875Ottawa Senators
Record as Road Favorite11-4, 73% 456Record as Home Underdog2-1, 67% 127Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off28-28, 50% -3839After 1 or More Days Off29-27, 52% -3326Washington Capitals

PAST 30 DAYS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-1, 80% 183Record at Home3-2, 60% 13Ottawa Senators
VS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesVS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 83vs Team .500 or Better2-3, 40% -75Ottawa Senators
Record as Road Favorite4-0, 100% 283Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesOttawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off5-3, 62% -643After 1 or More Days Off3-4, 43% -613Washington Capitals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-13, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME20-13, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-3, 25% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-9, 64% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home28-21, 57% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road28-23, 55% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 17-17, 50% -367 Washington Capitals Home Games: 20-15, 57% +183 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 1-4, 20% -400 Washington Capitals Home Games: 4-1, 80% +231

MONEY LINE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 20-14, 59% +159 Washington Capitals Home Games: 21-14, 60% 203 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-2, 60% -5 Washington Capitals Home Games: 4-1, 80% +231

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 15-19, 44% -535 Washington Capitals Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 129 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 2-3, 40% -118 Washington Capitals Home Games: 2-3, 40% -118

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