March 18, 2023 10:49 AM CDT

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators 3/18/2023

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 63 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Maple Leafs are favored despite being projected for 29 shots on goal vs 32 shots for the Senators. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.1% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.3%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Matt Murray 29, Anton Forsberg 25 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 4.2, Brady Tkachuk 4.1 GOALS: Auston Matthews 0.7, Tim Stutzle 0.55 PTS: Mitch Marner has a 71% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tim Stutzle has a 56% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-15, 52% -197Record at Home19-14, 58% 51Ottawa Senators
VS Ottawa Senators1-1, 50% -40VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-1, 50% 74Ottawa Senators
vs Team Under .50020-14, 59% -426vs Team .500 or Better12-22, 35% -671Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite9-13, 41% -698Record as Home Underdog4-8, 33% -325Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off34-23, 60% -4371After 1 or More Days Off27-30, 47% -3032Ottawa Senators

PAST 30 DAYS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-3, 57% 10Record at Home4-1, 80% 162Ottawa Senators
VS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesVS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -103vs Team .500 or Better1-6, 14% -491Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite3-3, 50% -87Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesOttawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off6-4, 60% -788After 1 or More Days Off6-5, 55% -516Ottawa Senators

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Toronto Maple LeafsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD16-12, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-13, 57% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home23-27, 46% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road29-20, 59% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 13-18, 42% -1572 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 18-15, 55% +61 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-3, 57% -300 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-2, 60% +189

MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 14-17, 45% -621 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 20-13, 61% 99 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-3, 57% +10 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-2, 60% -7

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 17-8, 68% + 747 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 8-7, 53% + 28 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 1-1, 50% -9

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