March 13, 2025 6:39 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Philadelphia Flyers 3/13/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 65.8 percent favorites over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 26 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Flyers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.8% compared to the Flyers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.2%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 24, Ivan Fedotov 23 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.9, Owen Tippett 2.8 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.61, Travis Konecny 0.46 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 74% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Travis Konecny has a 53% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPhiladelphia FlyersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-17, 45% -445Record at Home15-19, 44% -597Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Philadelphia Flyers0-1, 0% -100VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 148Philadelphia Flyers
vs Team Under .50022-12, 65% 231vs Team .500 or Better8-22, 27% -1092Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite7-8, 47% -301Record as Home Underdog5-13, 28% -679Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off30-22, 58% -3527After 1 or More Days Off26-29, 47% -2210Philadelphia Flyers

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPhiladelphia FlyersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-2, 33% -108Record at Home2-5, 29% -263Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Philadelphia Flyers0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-1, 80% 145vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -25Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite0-0 No GamesRecord as Home Underdog1-3, 25% -144Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off5-3, 62% -437After 1 or More Days Off3-5, 38% -250Philadelphia Flyers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDPhiladelphia FlyersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD15-16, 48% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME16-16, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-3, 0% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-1, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON17-10, 63% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home23-21, 52% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road26-21, 55% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 13-18, 42% -1176 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 17-17, 50% -279 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-3, 0% -300 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 4-3, 57% +101

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 12-19, 39% -904 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 22-12, 65% 420 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 0-3, 0% -300 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 4-3, 57% +50

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 16-15, 52% -44 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 17-17, 50% -153 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-2, 33% -109 Philadelphia Flyers Home Games: 3-4, 43% -127

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