The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 51.4 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +6 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 32 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.2% compared to the Lightning goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.2%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Dennis Hildeby 28, Andrei Vasilevskiy 23 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 3.6, Nikita Kucherov 4 GOALS: Matthew Knies 0.84, Nikita Kucherov 0.42 PTS: Auston Matthews has a 61% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 62% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning
| Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-15, 42% -236 | Record at Home | 18-9, 67% 261 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-0, 100% 88 | VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 0-1, 0% -100 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-18, 40% -637 | vs Team .500 or Better | 18-9, 67% 540 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 8-9, 47% 130 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-9, 64% 53 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 23-25, 48% -2983 | After 1 or More Days Off | 31-14, 69% -2773 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-1, 75% 213 | Record at Home | 5-0, 100% 258 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 1-2, 33% -112 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-0, 100% 154 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-0, 100% 159 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-0, 100% 258 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 2-2, 50% -354 | After 1 or More Days Off | 5-0, 100% -258 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-8, 69% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-13, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-1, 75% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 0-0 No Games | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 13-15, 46% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | UNDER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 31-15, 67% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 22-18, 55% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 14-12, 54% +352 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 17-10, 63% +274 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-2, 50% -41 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-2, 60% -56
MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 13-13, 50% -227 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 17-10, 63% 89 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-2, 50% -46 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-0, 100% +258
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 12-14, 46% -308 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 9-18, 33% -981 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 0-5, 0% -500
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