February 12, 2026 3:19 PM EST

NHL: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals 2/25/2026

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The Washington Capitals are solid 62.8 percent favorites over the Philadelphia Flyers. The Capitals are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Flyers. The Capitals goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.7% compared to the Flyers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Samuel Ersson 24, Logan Thompson 23 SHOTS: Matvei Michkov 2.5, Alex Ovechkin 3.7 GOALS: Matvei Michkov 0.43, Alex Ovechkin 0.75 PTS: Travis Konecny has a 51% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Dylan Strome has a 46% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia FlyersRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-15, 44% 1Record at Home17-13, 57% -19Philadelphia Flyers
VS Washington Capitals1-0, 100% 81VS Philadelphia Flyers0-1, 0% -100Philadelphia Flyers
vs Team Under .50014-14, 50% -85vs Team Under .50015-13, 54% -120Philadelphia Flyers
Record As Road Underdog10-15, 40% -161Record As Home Favorite15-12, 56% -146Washington Capitals
After 1 or More Days Off23-25, 48% -1790After 1 or More Days Off26-23, 53% -2713Philadelphia Flyers

PAST 30 DAYS

Philadelphia FlyersRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road0-2, 0% -200Record at Home3-0, 100% 264Washington Capitals
VS Washington Capitals1-0, 100% 81VS Philadelphia Flyers0-1, 0% -100Philadelphia Flyers
vs Team .500 or Better1-3, 25% -219vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 72Washington Capitals
Record As Road Underdog0-2, 0% -200Record As Home Favorite2-0, 100% 138Washington Capitals
After 1 or More Days Off1-4, 20% -481After 1 or More Days Off4-1, 80% -2Washington Capitals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia FlyersRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-9, 67% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME19-10, 66% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-0, 100% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON17-10, 63% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-9, 64% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home25-18, 58% OVEROpp Averages <2.8 G on Road7-6, 54% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 12-15, 44% +503 Washington Capitals Home Games: 16-14, 53% -48 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 1-1, 50% +81 Washington Capitals Home Games: 3-0, 100% +264

MONEY LINE - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 14-13, 52% -280 Washington Capitals Home Games: 17-13, 57% +-28 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 1-1, 50% -15 Washington Capitals Home Games: 3-0, 100% +264

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 12-15, 44% -408 Washington Capitals Home Games: 17-13, 57% + 247 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Flyers Road Games: 1-1, 50% -9 Washington Capitals Home Games: 2-1, 67% + 82

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