December 02, 2025 2:28 PM EST

NHL: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 12/4/2025

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 68.9 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 27 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Penguins. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.1% compared to the Penguins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Tristan Jarry 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 25 SHOTS: Sidney Crosby 3, Nikita Kucherov 3.6 GOALS: Rickard Rakell 0.4, Brayden Point 0.62 PTS: Sidney Crosby has a 53% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 73% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-6, 54% 281Record at Home8-5, 62% 54Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-5, 50% 61vs Team .500 or Better9-4, 69% 367Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog6-3, 67% 516Record As Home Favorite7-5, 58% -45Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off13-8, 62% -558After 1 or More Days Off14-6, 70% -1070Pittsburgh Penguins

PAST 30 DAYS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-3, 40% -81Record at Home5-2, 71% 131Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-3, 40% -125vs Team Under .5004-1, 80% 308Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog2-2, 50% 19Record As Home Favorite5-2, 71% 131Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -411After 1 or More Days Off10-2, 83% -356Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-6, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-6, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-3, 57% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home10-7, 59% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road10-10, 50% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 9-4, 69% +546 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 9-4, 69% +381 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-2, 60% +89 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-1, 86% +359

MONEY LINE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 5-8, 38% -442 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 7-6, 54% +-118 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-2, 60% +33 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-2, 71% +131

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 7-6, 54% + 37 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-10, 23% -727 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 1-6, 14% -509

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW