December 27, 2025 4:43 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Florida Panthers 12/27/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 57.5 percent favorites over the Florida Panthers. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 31 shots for the Panthers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.2% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 28, Sergei Bobrovsky 22 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.5, Sam Bennett 3.4 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.55, Sam Reinhart 0.54 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 70% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Sam Reinhart has a 48% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road10-7, 59% 257Record at Home12-8, 60% -7Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Florida Panthers1-1, 50% 11VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-1, 50% 23Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better13-8, 62% 299vs Team Under .5008-7, 53% -163Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog7-2, 78% 537Record As Home Favorite10-8, 56% -192Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off15-13, 54% -1850After 1 or More Days Off18-13, 58% -1807Florida Panthers

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-3, 57% 88Record at Home4-3, 57% -19Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Florida Panthers0-1, 0% -100VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 123Florida Panthers
vs Team .500 or Better2-5, 29% -288vs Team Under .5004-0, 100% 340Florida Panthers
Record As Road Underdog2-1, 67% 137Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -112Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off2-7, 22% -639After 1 or More Days Off6-3, 67% -369Florida Panthers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDFlorida PanthersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-9, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-6, 57% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home15-16, 48% OVEROpp Averages <2.8 G on Road3-2, 60% OVERN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 11-6, 65% -96 Florida Panthers Home Games: 5-15, 25% -840 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-3, 57% -159 Florida Panthers Home Games: 1-6, 14% -464

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 10-7, 59% +182 Florida Panthers Home Games: 8-12, 40% +-660 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-4, 43% -153 Florida Panthers Home Games: 2-5, 29% -380

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 6-11, 35% -554 Florida Panthers Home Games: 9-11, 45% -281 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 2-5, 29% -318 Florida Panthers Home Games: 4-3, 57% + 64

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