December 27, 2025 4:43 AM EST

NHL: Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 12/27/2025

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 56 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Maple Leafs are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Senators. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.6% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Linus Ullmark 22, Joseph Woll 26 SHOTS: Brady Tkachuk 4.3, Auston Matthews 4.6 GOALS: Brady Tkachuk 0.33, William Nylander 0.59 PTS: Tim Stutzle has a 48% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 59% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road9-9, 50% 16Record at Home10-10, 50% -340Ottawa Senators
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-9, 44% -334vs Team Under .50010-8, 56% -90Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite3-3, 50% -60Record as Home Underdog0-3, 0% -300Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off14-16, 47% -1865After 1 or More Days Off12-16, 43% -1850Toronto Maple Leafs

PAST 30 DAYS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-3, 50% -3Record at Home2-3, 40% -156Ottawa Senators
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -310vs Team Under .5003-0, 100% 237Toronto Maple Leafs
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 90Record as Home Underdog0-1, 0% -100Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off4-6, 40% -735After 1 or More Days Off4-5, 44% -378Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ottawa SenatorsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-7, 61% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-5, 62% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home13-12, 52% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road16-10, 62% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 9-9, 50% -111 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-13, 35% -632 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 2-4, 33% -244 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 1-4, 20% -277

MONEY LINE - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 10-8, 56% +28 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 9-11, 45% +-492 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-3, 50% -70 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 1-4, 20% -344

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 9-9, 50% -81 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-13, 35% -663 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Ottawa Senators Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 73

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