December 23, 2025 11:07 AM EST

NHL: Buffalo Sabres vs. Ottawa Senators 12/23/2025

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The Ottawa Senators are slight 50 percent favorites over the Buffalo Sabres. The Senators are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Sabres. The Sabres goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.1% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Alex Lyon 27, Linus Ullmark 23 SHOTS: Tage Thompson 3.5, Brady Tkachuk 4.3 GOALS: Tage Thompson 0.48, Brady Tkachuk 0.38 PTS: Rasmus Dahlin has a 53% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tim Stutzle has a 52% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Ottawa Senators

Buffalo SabresRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-11, 31% -534Record at Home7-8, 47% -327Ottawa Senators
VS Ottawa Senators1-0, 100% 100VS Buffalo Sabres0-1, 0% -100Buffalo Sabres
vs Team Under .5008-10, 44% -147vs Team .500 or Better9-8, 53% 23Ottawa Senators
Record As Road Underdog3-11, 21% -709Record As Home Favorite7-6, 54% -127Ottawa Senators
After 1 or More Days Off13-16, 45% -1202After 1 or More Days Off14-16, 47% -1865Buffalo Sabres

PAST 30 DAYS

Buffalo SabresRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-4, 50% 55Record at Home1-3, 25% -234Buffalo Sabres
VS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesVS Buffalo Sabres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-3, 57% 65vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -180Buffalo Sabres
Record As Road Underdog2-4, 33% -120Record As Home Favorite1-3, 25% -234Buffalo Sabres
After 1 or More Days Off5-5, 50% -467After 1 or More Days Off5-7, 42% -705Buffalo Sabres

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Buffalo SabresRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-5, 69% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-7, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-12, 57% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home17-10, 63% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road13-12, 52% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 6-10, 38% -318 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 9-6, 60% +189 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 4-4, 50% +36 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-1, 75% +230

MONEY LINE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 8-8, 50% -228 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 10-5, 67% 355 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 3-5, 38% -225 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 4-0, 100% +396

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 10-6, 62% + 310 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 8-7, 53% + 28 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 155 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 173

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