The Washington Capitals are solid 62.9 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Capitals are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Capitals goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Dennis Hildeby 26, Logan Thompson 23 SHOTS: Auston Matthews 4.6, Alex Ovechkin 3.9 GOALS: William Nylander 0.51, Alex Ovechkin 0.65 PTS: Auston Matthews has a 55% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Dylan Strome has a 55% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Capitals
| Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | Washington Capitals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-7, 42% -155 | Record at Home | 10-7, 59% 55 | Washington Capitals |
| VS Washington Capitals | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 1-0, 100% 65 | Washington Capitals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -505 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-10, 41% -315 | Washington Capitals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 165 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-7, 56% -46 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 12-15, 44% -1750 | After 1 or More Days Off | 15-12, 56% -1582 | Washington Capitals |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | Washington Capitals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-2, 67% 265 | Record at Home | 6-2, 75% 239 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| VS Washington Capitals | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 1-0, 100% 65 | Washington Capitals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% 54 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-1, 86% 409 | Washington Capitals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-2, 67% 265 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-2, 75% 239 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 6-6, 50% -447 | After 1 or More Days Off | 8-5, 62% -926 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | Washington Capitals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-7, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-3, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 13-15, 46% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-9, 64% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 16-10, 62% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 15-12, 56% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 7-5, 58% +231 Washington Capitals Home Games: 8-9, 47% -298 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 2-4, 33% -199 Washington Capitals Home Games: 6-2, 75% +250
MONEY LINE - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 6-6, 50% -19 Washington Capitals Home Games: 10-7, 59% 46 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 1-5, 17% -435 Washington Capitals Home Games: 7-1, 88% +431
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 5-7, 42% -245 Washington Capitals Home Games: 12-5, 71% + 592 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Maple Leafs Road Games: 4-2, 67% + 164 Washington Capitals Home Games: 7-1, 88% + 537
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