December 17, 2025 12:20 PM EST

NHL: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators 12/18/2025

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The Ottawa Senators are slight 51.3 percent favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Senators are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Penguins. The Penguins goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.2% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 90%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Stuart Skinner 27, Linus Ullmark 24 SHOTS: Sidney Crosby 3, Brady Tkachuk 4.2 GOALS: Bryan Rust 0.5, Brady Tkachuk 0.36 PTS: Sidney Crosby has a 55% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tim Stutzle has a 52% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-7, 53% 326Record at Home6-8, 43% -393Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-10, 41% -236vs Team Under .5005-9, 36% -470Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog7-4, 64% 561Record As Home Favorite6-6, 50% -193Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off14-13, 52% -913After 1 or More Days Off13-16, 45% -1799Pittsburgh Penguins

PAST 30 DAYS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-1, 75% 264Record at Home0-3, 0% -300Pittsburgh Penguins
VS Ottawa Senators0-0 No GamesVS Pittsburgh Penguins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-3, 25% -181vs Team Under .5003-5, 38% -203Pittsburgh Penguins
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 264Record As Home Favorite0-3, 0% -300Pittsburgh Penguins
After 1 or More Days Off4-6, 40% -316After 1 or More Days Off6-7, 46% -789Pittsburgh Penguins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh PenguinsRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD8-7, 53% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-7, 61% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON19-12, 61% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home17-8, 68% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road14-11, 56% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 10-5, 67% +506 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 9-5, 64% +289 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 3-1, 75% +179 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-0, 100% +330

MONEY LINE - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 6-9, 40% -482 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 9-5, 64% 289 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 2-2, 50% -40 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-0, 100% +330

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 8-7, 53% + 28 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 7-7, 50% -63 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Penguins Road Games: 2-2, 50% -18 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 2-1, 67% + 82

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