December 15, 2025 3:40 AM EST

NHL: Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 12/15/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 65.2 percent favorites over the Florida Panthers. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 28 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Panthers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91% compared to the Panthers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Sergei Bobrovsky 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 25 SHOTS: Sam Bennett 3.4, Nikita Kucherov 3.5 GOALS: Sam Reinhart 0.51, Brayden Point 0.57 PTS: Sam Reinhart has a 47% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 71% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-7, 46% -154Record at Home8-7, 53% -146Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100VS Florida Panthers1-0, 100% 111Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better9-8, 53% -91vs Team .500 or Better13-7, 65% 399Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog4-2, 67% 215Record As Home Favorite7-7, 50% -245Florida Panthers
After 1 or More Days Off15-13, 54% -1769After 1 or More Days Off15-11, 58% -1650Tampa Bay Lightning

PAST 30 DAYS

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-1, 75% 185Record at Home4-3, 57% -37Florida Panthers
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100VS Florida Panthers1-0, 100% 111Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better3-6, 33% -344vs Team Under .5004-3, 57% 22Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog2-1, 67% 110Record As Home Favorite4-3, 57% -37Florida Panthers
After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -827After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -683Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Florida PanthersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-6, 54% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-9, 47% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-12, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home14-14, 50% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road14-16, 47% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 8-5, 62% +273 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 9-6, 60% +181 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 2-2, 50% -157 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-3, 57% -37

MONEY LINE - Florida Panthers Road Games: 5-8, 38% -443 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 7-8, 47% +-318 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 2-2, 50% -82 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-3, 57% -37

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Florida Panthers Road Games: 6-7, 46% -154 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-11, 27% -736 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Florida Panthers Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 1-6, 14% -509

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