December 11, 2025 4:10 AM EST

NHL: San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 12/11/2025

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid 63.6 percent favorites over the San Jose Sharks. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 26 shots on goal vs 23 shots for the Sharks. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.4% compared to the Sharks goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Yaroslav Askarov 23, Dennis Hildeby 21 SHOTS: Macklin Celebrini 3.5, Auston Matthews 4.5 GOALS: Tyler Toffoli 0.39, William Nylander 0.56 PTS: Macklin Celebrini has a 44% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 59% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Jose Sharks

San Jose SharksRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-9, 36% 37Record at Home9-8, 53% -196San Jose Sharks
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS San Jose Sharks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-7, 50% 300vs Team .500 or Better7-9, 44% -242San Jose Sharks
Record As Road Underdog5-9, 36% 37Record As Home Favorite9-6, 60% 4San Jose Sharks
After 1 or More Days Off12-13, 48% +458After 1 or More Days Off11-13, 46% -1494San Jose Sharks

PAST 30 DAYS

San Jose SharksRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-6, 25% -200Record at Home2-3, 40% -137Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS San Jose Sharks0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5003-2, 60% 131vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% 54San Jose Sharks
Record As Road Underdog2-6, 25% -200Record As Home Favorite2-2, 50% -37Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off6-7, 46% -16After 1 or More Days Off5-7, 42% -491San Jose Sharks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Jose SharksRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD7-7, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-4, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-6, 25% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON15-13, 54% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home13-14, 48% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road15-9, 62% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 6-8, 43% +182 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 7-10, 41% -332 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 3-5, 38% +67 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 1-4, 20% -277

MONEY LINE - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 8-6, 57% -258 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 8-9, 47% +-348 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 5-3, 62% -96 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 1-4, 20% -325

OVER-UNDER RECORD - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 7-7, 50% -63 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 5-12, 29% -745 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 346 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-3, 40% -118

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