November 29, 2025 9:40 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers 11/29/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 57 percent favorites over the New York Rangers. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +0 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 26 shots on goal vs 26 shots for the Rangers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.7% compared to the Rangers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.3%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jonas Johansson 23, Igor Shesterkin 23 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.5, Artemi Panarin 3.6 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.62, Artemi Panarin 0.55 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 69% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Artemi Panarin has a 59% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% 169Record at Home2-8, 20% -674Tampa Bay Lightning
VS New York Rangers0-1, 0% -100VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 128New York Rangers
vs Team Under .5004-4, 50% -61vs Team .500 or Better4-7, 36% -309Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog5-1, 83% 400Record As Home Favorite2-6, 25% -474Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off12-6, 67% -1147After 1 or More Days Off11-10, 52% -1451Tampa Bay Lightning

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York RangersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-1, 80% 306Record at Home2-3, 40% -174Tampa Bay Lightning
VS New York Rangers0-1, 0% -100VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 128New York Rangers
vs Team .500 or Better4-2, 67% 145vs Team .500 or Better2-3, 40% -100Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog4-1, 80% 306Record As Home Favorite2-2, 50% -74Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off9-2, 82% -532After 1 or More Days Off7-4, 64% -507New York Rangers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDNew York RangersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-5, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-8, 43% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON9-17, 35% OverN/A
Opp Averages <2.8 G at Home1-3, 25% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road6-12, 33% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 7-3, 70% +63 New York Rangers Home Games: 5-5, 50% +20 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-1, 80% +120 New York Rangers Home Games: 2-3, 40% -126

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 7-3, 70% +335 New York Rangers Home Games: 4-6, 40% +-235 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 5-0, 100% +472 New York Rangers Home Games: 2-3, 40% -126

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-6, 40% -236 New York Rangers Home Games: 8-2, 80% + 528 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 New York Rangers Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 264

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