The Detroit Red Wings are slight 52 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Red Wings are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +8 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 23 shots for the Lightning. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.9% compared to the Red Wings goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 28, John Gibson 20 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.5, Dylan Larkin 3.4 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.58, Dylan Larkin 0.48 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 71% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Lucas Raymond has a 55% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Red Wings
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Detroit Red Wings | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 169 | Record at Home | 8-5, 62% 255 | Detroit Red Wings |
| VS Detroit Red Wings | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 1-0, 100% 111 | Detroit Red Wings |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 9-5, 64% 220 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -125 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-1, 83% 400 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-5, 44% -190 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 12-6, 67% -1147 | After 1 or More Days Off | 12-8, 60% -367 | Detroit Red Wings |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Detroit Red Wings | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-1, 80% 306 | Record at Home | 3-4, 43% -181 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| VS Detroit Red Wings | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Lightning | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-1, 83% 327 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-4, 56% 32 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-1, 80% 306 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-4, 43% -181 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 9-2, 82% -532 | After 1 or More Days Off | 5-6, 45% -762 | Tampa Bay Lightning |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Lightning | RECORD | Detroit Red Wings | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 6-4, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-2, 60% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 18-18, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 12-14, 46% Over | UNDER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 9-9, 50% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 9-6, 60% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 7-3, 70% +63 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 6-7, 46% -126 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-1, 80% +120 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 2-5, 29% -351
MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 7-3, 70% +335 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 6-7, 46% +-172 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 5-0, 100% +472 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 3-4, 43% -181
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 4-6, 40% -236 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 4-9, 31% -536 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 3-4, 43% -127
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