November 26, 2025 12:54 PM EST

NHL: Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 11/26/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 66.9 percent favorites over the Calgary Flames. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 26 shots on goal vs 30 shots for the Flames. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 92.9% compared to the Flames goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.9%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Dustin Wolf 23, Andrei Vasilevskiy 27 SHOTS: Nazem Kadri 3.7, Nikita Kucherov 3.5 GOALS: Jonathan Huberdeau 0.28, Brayden Point 0.53 PTS: Nazem Kadri has a 38% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 68% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Lightning

Calgary FlamesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-10, 29% -463Record at Home7-5, 58% -10Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Calgary Flames0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -449vs Team Under .5004-4, 50% -61Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog4-10, 29% -463Record As Home Favorite6-5, 55% -109Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off5-14, 26% -1149After 1 or More Days Off12-6, 67% -1147Tampa Bay Lightning

PAST 30 DAYS

Calgary FlamesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-6, 33% -234Record at Home5-2, 71% 166Tampa Bay Lightning
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Calgary Flames0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% 17vs Team .500 or Better3-2, 60% 70Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog3-6, 33% -234Record As Home Favorite4-2, 67% 67Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off3-8, 27% -826After 1 or More Days Off10-2, 83% -626Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Calgary FlamesRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-4, 71% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME5-5, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON9-17, 35% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home11-8, 58% OVEROpp Averages <2.8 G on Road1-3, 25% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Calgary Flames Road Games: 9-5, 64% +339 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 8-4, 67% +317 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Calgary Flames Road Games: 6-3, 67% +174 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-1, 86% +394

MONEY LINE - Calgary Flames Road Games: 10-4, 71% +203 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-6, 50% +-182 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Calgary Flames Road Games: 6-3, 67% +108 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-2, 71% +166

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Calgary Flames Road Games: 4-10, 29% -636 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-9, 25% -627 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Calgary Flames Road Games: 3-6, 33% -327 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 1-6, 14% -509

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