November 11, 2025 4:27 AM EST

NHL: New York Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 11/12/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 57.6 percent favorites over the New York Rangers. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 27 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Rangers. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.7% compared to the Rangers goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.2%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Igor Shesterkin 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 24 SHOTS: Artemi Panarin 3.4, Nikita Kucherov 3.6 GOALS: Artemi Panarin 0.5, Brayden Point 0.59 PTS: Artemi Panarin has a 57% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 73% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

New York RangersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-2, 78% 438Record at Home4-3, 57% -9New York Rangers
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS New York Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-4, 43% -128vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 143Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 221Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -108New York Rangers
After 1 or More Days Off8-7, 53% -1134After 1 or More Days Off7-5, 58% -867Tampa Bay Lightning

PAST 30 DAYS

New York RangersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-2, 71% 272Record at Home4-1, 80% 191New York Rangers
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS New York Rangers0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -209vs Team Under .5002-2, 50% -38Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog3-1, 75% 221Record As Home Favorite3-1, 75% 92New York Rangers
After 1 or More Days Off6-6, 50% -868After 1 or More Days Off7-3, 70% -667Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York RangersRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD4-5, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-4, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-4, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON9-17, 35% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home4-7, 36% OVEROpp Averages <2.8 G on Road1-3, 25% OVERUNDER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - New York Rangers Road Games: 4-5, 44% -279 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-3, 57% +90 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Rangers Road Games: 3-4, 43% -179 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 4-1, 80% +290

MONEY LINE - New York Rangers Road Games: 5-4, 56% +65 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-4, 43% +-181 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Rangers Road Games: 4-3, 57% +80 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-2, 60% +19

OVER-UNDER RECORD - New York Rangers Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 55 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-5, 29% -318 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Rangers Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 64 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 0-5, 0% -500

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