October 26, 2025 12:47 PM EST

NHL: Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 10/28/2025

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The Toronto Maple Leafs are heavy 68.2 percent favorites over the Calgary Flames. The Maple Leafs are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Flames. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 92.9% compared to the Flames goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.7%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Dustin Wolf 24, Dennis Hildeby 23 SHOTS: Nazem Kadri 3.6, Auston Matthews 4.6 GOALS: Nazem Kadri 0.25, William Nylander 0.55 PTS: Jonathan Huberdeau has a 37% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 60% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

Calgary FlamesRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-3, 25% -129Record at Home3-3, 50% -112Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Calgary Flames0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-0, 100% 171vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 27Calgary Flames
Record As Road Underdog1-3, 25% -129Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -112Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off1-4, 20% -229After 1 or More Days Off2-4, 33% -531Calgary Flames

PAST 30 DAYS

Calgary FlamesRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-3, 25% -129Record at Home3-3, 50% -112Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-0 No GamesVS Calgary Flames0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5001-0, 100% 171vs Team Under .5002-1, 67% 27Calgary Flames
Record As Road Underdog1-3, 25% -129Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -112Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off1-4, 20% -229After 1 or More Days Off2-4, 33% -531Calgary Flames

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Calgary FlamesRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-1, 75% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME1-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-0, 100% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON9-17, 35% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home4-3, 57% OVEROpp Averages <2.8 G on Road2-0, 100% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Calgary Flames Road Games: 2-2, 50% +34 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-2, 67% +218 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Calgary Flames Road Games: 2-2, 50% +34 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-2, 67% +218

MONEY LINE - Calgary Flames Road Games: 3-1, 75% +44 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% +-88 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Calgary Flames Road Games: 3-1, 75% +44 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -88

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Calgary Flames Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-4, 33% -218 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Calgary Flames Road Games: 1-3, 25% -209 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 2-4, 33% -218

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