October 26, 2025 12:47 PM EST

NHL: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 10/26/2025

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The Vegas Golden Knights are slight 53.2 percent favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Golden Knights are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +7 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 30 shots on goal vs 23 shots for the Lightning. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.4% compared to the Golden Knights goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Adin Hill 20, Andrei Vasilevskiy 27 SHOTS: Jack Eichel 3.4, Nikita Kucherov 3.7 GOALS: Pavel Dorofeyev 0.39, Brayden Point 0.59 PTS: Mitch Marner has a 63% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 72% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-1, 67% 33Record at Home0-2, 0% -200Vegas Golden Knights
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Vegas Golden Knights0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 26vs Team .500 or Better0-4, 0% -400Vegas Golden Knights
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite0-2, 0% -200Vegas Golden Knights
After 1 or More Days Off4-2, 67% -451After 1 or More Days Off1-3, 25% -369Tampa Bay Lightning

PAST 30 DAYS

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-1, 67% 33Record at Home0-2, 0% -200Vegas Golden Knights
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Vegas Golden Knights0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% 26vs Team .500 or Better0-4, 0% -400Vegas Golden Knights
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite0-2, 0% -200Vegas Golden Knights
After 1 or More Days Off4-2, 67% -451After 1 or More Days Off1-3, 25% -369Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Vegas Golden KnightsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD1-2, 33% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME1-3, 25% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-2, 33% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-3, 25% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-19, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home1-1, 50% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road3-2, 60% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 2-1, 67% -100 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 0-2, 0% -200 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 2-1, 67% -100

MONEY LINE - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 2-1, 67% +33 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 0-2, 0% +-200 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 2-1, 67% +33 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 0-2, 0% -200

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 2-1, 67% + 82 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-0, 100% + 182 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Vegas Golden Knights Road Games: 2-1, 67% + 82 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-0, 100% + 182

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