October 16, 2025 10:06 AM EST

NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings 10/17/2025

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 59.1 percent favorites over the Detroit Red Wings. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 25 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Red Wings. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.5% compared to the Red Wings goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.3%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Andrei Vasilevskiy 25, John Gibson 22 SHOTS: Nikita Kucherov 3.6, Dylan Larkin 3.5 GOALS: Brayden Point 0.61, Dylan Larkin 0.43 PTS: Nikita Kucherov has a 73% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Lucas Raymond has a 53% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Red Wings

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDDetroit Red WingsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-1, 50% -31Record at Home1-1, 50% 3Detroit Red Wings
VS Detroit Red Wings0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -131vs Team Under .5000-0 No GamesDetroit Red Wings
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -31Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 103Detroit Red Wings
After 1 or More Days Off1-2, 33% -269After 1 or More Days Off2-1, 67% +138Detroit Red Wings

PAST 30 DAYS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDDetroit Red WingsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-1, 50% -31Record at Home1-1, 50% 3Detroit Red Wings
VS Detroit Red Wings0-0 No GamesVS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better1-2, 33% -131vs Team Under .5000-0 No GamesDetroit Red Wings
Record as Road Favorite1-1, 50% -31Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 103Detroit Red Wings
After 1 or More Days Off1-2, 33% -269After 1 or More Days Off2-1, 67% +138Detroit Red Wings

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay LightningRECORDDetroit Red WingsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD1-1, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME0-1, 0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-1, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS0-1, 0% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-14, 46% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home3-0, 100% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road2-1, 67% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -100 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 1-1, 50% +3 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -100 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 1-1, 50% +3

MONEY LINE - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -31 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 1-1, 50% 3 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -31 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 1-1, 50% +3

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -9 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 0-2, 0% -200 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Lightning Road Games: 1-1, 50% -9 Detroit Red Wings Home Games: 0-2, 0% -200

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