January 05, 2026 1:47 PM EST

NHL: Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals 1/7/2026

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The Washington Capitals are solid 58.2 percent favorites over the Dallas Stars. The Capitals are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +4 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 25 shots for the Stars. The Capitals goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 88.6% compared to the Stars goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.5%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jake Oettinger 26, Logan Thompson 22 SHOTS: Mikko Rantanen 3, Alex Ovechkin 3.7 GOALS: Mikko Rantanen 0.47, Alex Ovechkin 0.68 PTS: Mikko Rantanen has a 58% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Dylan Strome has a 52% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Dallas Stars

Dallas StarsRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-7, 65% 374Record at Home11-9, 55% -83Dallas Stars
VS Washington Capitals1-0, 100% 71VS Dallas Stars0-1, 0% -100Dallas Stars
vs Team .500 or Better10-7, 59% 141vs Team .500 or Better8-14, 36% -594Dallas Stars
Record as Road Favorite9-6, 60% 57Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 101Washington Capitals
After 1 or More Days Off20-14, 59% -2244After 1 or More Days Off17-15, 53% -1841Washington Capitals

PAST 30 DAYS

Dallas StarsRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 5Record at Home2-3, 40% -177Dallas Stars
VS Washington Capitals0-0 No GamesVS Dallas Stars0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-1, 83% 247vs Team .500 or Better0-5, 0% -500Dallas Stars
Record as Road Favorite3-2, 60% 5Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesDallas Stars
After 1 or More Days Off5-4, 56% -728After 1 or More Days Off3-6, 33% -620Washington Capitals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas StarsRECORDWashington CapitalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-8, 60% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME11-8, 58% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-0, 100% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-15, 44% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-9, 64% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home19-13, 59% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road19-13, 59% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Dallas Stars Road Games: 10-10, 50% -534 Washington Capitals Home Games: 9-11, 45% -436 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Stars Road Games: 1-4, 20% -400 Washington Capitals Home Games: 2-3, 40% -177

MONEY LINE - Dallas Stars Road Games: 9-11, 45% -399 Washington Capitals Home Games: 11-9, 55% +-92 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Stars Road Games: 1-4, 20% -351 Washington Capitals Home Games: 2-3, 40% -177

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Dallas Stars Road Games: 12-8, 60% + 292 Washington Capitals Home Games: 13-7, 65% + 483 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Dallas Stars Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Washington Capitals Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 73

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