January 05, 2026 1:47 PM EST

NHL: Colorado Avalanche vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 1/6/2026

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are slight 52.3 percent favorites over the Colorado Avalanche. The Lightning are favored despite being projected for 27 shots on goal vs 34 shots for the Avalanche. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.4% compared to the Avalanche goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 87.6%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Mackenzie Blackwood 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 31 SHOTS: Nathan MacKinnon 4.3, Nikita Kucherov 3.6 GOALS: Valeri Nichushkin 0.54, Brayden Point 0.59 PTS: Nathan MacKinnon has a 67% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 71% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Avalanche

Colorado AvalancheRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-7, 65% 194Record at Home11-9, 55% -141Colorado Avalanche
VS Tampa Bay Lightning1-0, 100% 66VS Colorado Avalanche0-1, 0% -100Colorado Avalanche
vs Team .500 or Better12-6, 67% 119vs Team .500 or Better15-8, 65% 428Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite10-5, 67% 97Record as Home Underdog1-0, 100% 99Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off25-7, 78% -1755After 1 or More Days Off18-13, 58% -2090Colorado Avalanche

PAST 30 DAYS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-1, 83% 202Record at Home3-3, 50% -95Colorado Avalanche
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Colorado Avalanche0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better3-1, 75% 41vs Team .500 or Better5-3, 62% 74Tampa Bay Lightning
Record as Road Favorite5-1, 83% 202Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesColorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off9-1, 90% -562After 1 or More Days Off4-5, 44% -820Colorado Avalanche

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD10-10, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME9-9, 50% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-2, 67% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-15, 52% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverN/A
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home15-13, 54% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road16-16, 50% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 11-9, 55% -511 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 12-8, 60% +186 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 4-2, 67% -200 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-3, 50% -95

MONEY LINE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 10-10, 50% -342 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 10-10, 50% +-313 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 4-2, 67% +31 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-3, 50% -95

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 11-9, 55% + 101 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 8-12, 40% -472 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 3-3, 50% -27 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 5-1, 83% + 355

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