January 26, 2026 11:44 AM EST

NHL: Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators 1/28/2026

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The Colorado Avalanche are heavy 65.5 percent favorites over the Ottawa Senators. The Avalanche are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 31 shots on goal vs 29 shots for the Senators. The Avalanche goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 91.5% compared to the Senators goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Mackenzie Blackwood 27, Linus Ullmark 28 SHOTS: Nathan MacKinnon 4.4, Brady Tkachuk 4.3 GOALS: Valeri Nichushkin 0.53, Brady Tkachuk 0.34 PTS: Nathan MacKinnon has a 68% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Tim Stutzle has a 49% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Avalanche

Colorado AvalancheRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-9, 62% 129Record at Home12-14, 46% -571Colorado Avalanche
VS Ottawa Senators1-0, 100% 42VS Colorado Avalanche0-1, 0% -100Colorado Avalanche
vs Team Under .50021-4, 84% 802vs Team .500 or Better9-17, 35% -955Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite12-7, 63% 32Record as Home Underdog1-4, 20% -293Colorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off31-12, 72% -2554After 1 or More Days Off19-25, 43% -3097Colorado Avalanche

PAST 30 DAYS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 6Record at Home4-5, 44% -187Colorado Avalanche
VS Ottawa Senators1-0, 100% 42VS Colorado Avalanche0-1, 0% -100Colorado Avalanche
vs Team Under .5004-2, 67% -25vs Team .500 or Better2-10, 17% -810Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite3-2, 60% 6Record as Home Underdog1-2, 33% -93Colorado Avalanche
After 1 or More Days Off8-5, 62% -917After 1 or More Days Off4-8, 33% -1089Colorado Avalanche

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDOttawa SenatorsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-12, 50% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-9, 65% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-15, 52% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON14-11, 56% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home22-17, 56% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road23-19, 55% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 12-12, 50% -702 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 13-13, 50% -26 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 1-4, 20% -291 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 3-6, 33% -241

MONEY LINE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 13-11, 54% -198 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 15-11, 58% 206 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 3-2, 60% +44 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 4-5, 44% -92

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 14-10, 58% + 274 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 13-13, 50% -117 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 264 Ottawa Senators Home Games: 4-5, 44% -136

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