The Buffalo Sabres are slight 51.4 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Sabres are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +2 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 29 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.3% compared to the Sabres goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 88.8%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: UkkoPekka Luukkonen 24, Joseph Woll 26 SHOTS: Tage Thompson 3.3, Auston Matthews 4.2 GOALS: Tage Thompson 0.55, Auston Matthews 0.64 PTS: Rasmus Dahlin has a 52% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 57% chance of 1+PTs
' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Buffalo Sabres
| Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 13-13, 50% 178 | Record at Home | 16-14, 53% -255 | Buffalo Sabres |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 1-1, 50% 19 | VS Buffalo Sabres | 1-1, 50% -39 | Buffalo Sabres |
| vs Team Under .500 | 16-9, 64% 651 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-17, 41% -549 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-13, 43% -80 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-9, 59% -36 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 24-20, 55% -1415 | After 1 or More Days Off | 21-23, 48% -2629 | Buffalo Sabres |
PAST 30 DAYS
| Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-2, 75% 467 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% 11 | Buffalo Sabres |
| VS Toronto Maple Leafs | 0-0 No Games | VS Buffalo Sabres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-3, 57% 61 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-6, 25% -321 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-2, 71% 384 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-2, 50% -70 | Buffalo Sabres |
| After 1 or More Days Off | 9-4, 69% -270 | After 1 or More Days Off | 8-6, 57% -605 | Buffalo Sabres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Buffalo Sabres | RECORD | Toronto Maple Leafs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-11, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 15-7, 68% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-2, 71% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 16-12, 57% Over | HOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 13-15, 46% Over | OVER |
| Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home | 25-15, 62% OVER | Opp Averages >2.8 G on Road | 29-16, 64% OVER | OVER |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 14-12, 54% +399 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 13-17, 43% -500 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 6-2, 75% +472 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-3, 67% +232
MONEY LINE - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 13-13, 50% -263 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 16-14, 53% +-232 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 4-4, 50% -54 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 6-3, 67% +186
OVER-UNDER RECORD - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 16-10, 62% + 456 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 11-19, 37% -899 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Buffalo Sabres Road Games: 4-4, 50% -36 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-5, 44% -136
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