January 25, 2023 10:17 AM EST

NHL: Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 1/26/2023

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The Tampa Bay Lightning are solid 59.4 percent favorites over the Boston Bruins. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 35 shots on goal vs 32 shots for the Bruins. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.6% compared to the Bruins goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89.1%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Jeremy Swayman 31, A. Vasilevskiy 29 SHOTS: David Pastrnak 4.7, Nikita Kucherov 3.4 GOALS: David Pastrnak 0.88, Brayden Point 0.6 PTS: David Pastrnak has a 59% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 67% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Bruins

Boston BruinsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road16-5, 76% 718Record at Home18-5, 78% 451Boston Bruins
VS Tampa Bay Lightning2-0, 100% 173VS Boston Bruins0-2, 0% -200Boston Bruins
vs Team .500 or Better18-5, 78% 903vs Team .500 or Better8-11, 42% -574Boston Bruins
Record As Road Underdog6-1, 86% 538Record As Home Favorite18-5, 78% 451Boston Bruins
After 1 or More Days Off32-8, 80% -1689After 1 or More Days Off26-11, 70% -2514Boston Bruins

PAST 30 DAYS

Boston BruinsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-1, 88% 318Record at Home6-0, 100% 278Boston Bruins
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-0 No GamesVS Boston Bruins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better5-2, 71% 157vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% -80Boston Bruins
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 98Record As Home Favorite6-0, 100% 278Tampa Bay Lightning
After 1 or More Days Off8-3, 73% -697After 1 or More Days Off8-2, 80% -586Tampa Bay Lightning

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston BruinsRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD11-9, 55% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME10-8, 56% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-4, 43% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverN/A
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-20, 38% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home17-19, 47% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road20-12, 62% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Boston Bruins Road Games: 9-12, 43% -943 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 14-9, 61% +255 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Boston Bruins Road Games: 21-26, 45% -1100 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 32-19, 63% -7

MONEY LINE - Boston Bruins Road Games: 12-9, 57% -88 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 18-5, 78% 470 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Boston Bruins Road Games: 7-1, 88% +318 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 6-0, 100% +278

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Boston Bruins Road Games: 7-11, 39% -463 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 9-9, 50% -81 OVER-UNDER RECORD (Last Season) - Boston Bruins Road Games: 23-20, 53% + 93 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 26-18, 59% + 566

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