January 23, 2026 10:20 AM EST

NHL: Colorado Avalanche vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 1/25/2026

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The Colorado Avalanche are solid 56.6 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Avalanche are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +7 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 34 shots on goal vs 27 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Maple Leafs goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.2% compared to the Avalanche goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Mackenzie Blackwood 24, Dennis Hildeby 31 SHOTS: Nathan MacKinnon 4.3, Auston Matthews 4.3 GOALS: Valeri Nichushkin 0.55, Auston Matthews 0.65 PTS: Nathan MacKinnon has a 66% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 54% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Colorado Avalanche

Colorado AvalancheRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-9, 61% 66Record at Home16-11, 59% 45Colorado Avalanche
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-1, 0% -100VS Colorado Avalanche1-0, 100% 185Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team Under .50018-3, 86% 668vs Team .500 or Better9-16, 36% -686Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite11-7, 61% -31Record as Home Underdog3-3, 50% -19Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off30-10, 75% -2291After 1 or More Days Off21-20, 51% -2329Colorado Avalanche

PAST 30 DAYS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-2, 50% -57Record at Home5-1, 83% 311Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs0-1, 0% -100VS Colorado Avalanche1-0, 100% 185Toronto Maple Leafs
vs Team .500 or Better3-3, 50% -121vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -215Colorado Avalanche
Record as Road Favorite2-2, 50% -57Record as Home Underdog3-0, 100% 281Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off7-3, 70% -654After 1 or More Days Off8-3, 73% -305Toronto Maple Leafs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Colorado AvalancheRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD12-11, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-7, 68% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON16-15, 52% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home20-15, 57% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road27-14, 66% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 12-11, 52% -602 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 11-16, 41% -575 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 1-3, 25% -191 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-2, 67% +157

MONEY LINE - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 12-11, 52% -261 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 13-14, 48% +-470 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 2-2, 50% -19 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -52

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 14-9, 61% + 374 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 10-17, 37% -790 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Avalanche Road Games: 4-0, 100% + 364 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-3, 50% -27

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