January 20, 2026 5:36 AM EST

NHL: Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 1/21/2026

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The Detroit Red Wings are slight 53.7 percent favorites over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Red Wings are favored despite being projected for 28 shots on goal vs 28 shots for the Maple Leafs. The Red Wings goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 89.9% compared to the Maple Leafs goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 89%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: John Gibson 25, Dennis Hildeby 25 SHOTS: Dylan Larkin 3.6, Auston Matthews 4.3 GOALS: Dylan Larkin 0.53, William Nylander 0.58 PTS: Lucas Raymond has a 58% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Auston Matthews has a 53% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Red Wings

Detroit Red WingsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-11, 52% 157Record at Home16-11, 59% 45Detroit Red Wings
VS Toronto Maple Leafs3-0, 100% 316VS Detroit Red Wings0-3, 0% -300Detroit Red Wings
vs Team Under .50019-6, 76% 1200vs Team .500 or Better9-17, 35% -786Detroit Red Wings
Record As Road Underdog9-9, 50% 128Record As Home Favorite13-8, 62% 64Detroit Red Wings
After 1 or More Days Off27-13, 68% -1021After 1 or More Days Off21-20, 51% -2329Detroit Red Wings

PAST 30 DAYS

Detroit Red WingsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road2-3, 40% -57Record at Home6-1, 86% 385Toronto Maple Leafs
VS Toronto Maple Leafs1-0, 100% 78VS Detroit Red Wings0-1, 0% -100Detroit Red Wings
vs Team .500 or Better4-4, 50% -27vs Team .500 or Better2-4, 33% -141Detroit Red Wings
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -57Record As Home Favorite3-1, 75% 104Toronto Maple Leafs
After 1 or More Days Off8-2, 80% +13After 1 or More Days Off9-3, 75% -379Detroit Red Wings

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit Red WingsRECORDToronto Maple LeafsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-10, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME15-7, 68% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-2, 60% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-2, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON12-14, 46% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON13-15, 46% OverUNDER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home24-14, 63% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road26-14, 65% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 12-11, 52% -352 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 11-16, 41% -575 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 3-2, 60% +128 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-3, 57% +57

MONEY LINE - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 12-10, 55% +27 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 13-14, 48% +-470 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 4-1, 80% +285 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 4-3, 57% +22

OVER-UNDER RECORD - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 11-12, 48% -199 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 10-17, 37% -790 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Red Wings Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 73 Toronto Maple Leafs Home Games: 3-4, 43% -127

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