January 20, 2026 5:36 AM EST

NHL: San Jose Sharks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 1/20/2026

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Tampa Bay Lightning are heavy 73.9 percent favorites over the San Jose Sharks. The Lightning are favored by AccuScore simulations partly because they have a +3 edge in shots on goal and are projected for 27 shots on goal vs 24 shots for the Sharks. The Lightning goalie(s) have the edge in save percentage at 90.5% compared to the Sharks goalie(s) who have a forecasted save percentage of 86.4%. KEY PLAYER STATISTICAL DATA --- SAVES: Yaroslav Askarov 24, Andrei Vasilevskiy 22 SHOTS: Macklin Celebrini 3.5, Nikita Kucherov 3.6 GOALS: Tyler Toffoli 0.44, Brayden Point 0.66 PTS: Macklin Celebrini has a 46% chance of scoring at least 1 point and Nikita Kucherov has a 74% chance of 1+PTs

' We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Jose Sharks

San Jose SharksRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road12-11, 52% 855Record at Home12-9, 57% -32San Jose Sharks
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100VS San Jose Sharks1-0, 100% 55Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better13-15, 46% 530vs Team .500 or Better19-7, 73% 911Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog12-11, 52% 855Record As Home Favorite10-9, 53% -240San Jose Sharks
Playing Back-to-Back Days3-6, 33% -161After 1 or More Days Off24-14, 63% -2442San Jose Sharks

PAST 30 DAYS

San Jose SharksRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-2, 71% 514Record at Home3-0, 100% 229San Jose Sharks
VS Tampa Bay Lightning0-1, 0% -100VS San Jose Sharks1-0, 100% 55Tampa Bay Lightning
vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -298vs Team .500 or Better4-0, 100% 306Tampa Bay Lightning
Record As Road Underdog5-2, 71% 514Record As Home Favorite2-0, 100% 120San Jose Sharks
After 1 or More Days Off7-2, 78% +726After 1 or More Days Off8-1, 89% -507San Jose Sharks

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Jose SharksRECORDTampa Bay LightningRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-10, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME14-12, 54% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverHOME OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON15-13, 54% OverHOME OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON18-18, 50% OverOVER
Opp Averages >2.8 G at Home21-15, 58% OVEROpp Averages >2.8 G on Road19-16, 54% OVEROVER

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every NHL game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +2,000 units of profit since February. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 8-15, 35% -54 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 13-8, 62% +295 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 2-5, 29% -181 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-0, 100% +229

MONEY LINE - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 10-13, 43% -855 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 11-10, 52% +-204 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 2-5, 29% -397 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 3-0, 100% +229

OVER-UNDER RECORD - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 10-13, 43% -390 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 9-12, 43% -381 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Jose Sharks Road Games: 2-5, 29% -318 Tampa Bay Lightning Home Games: 2-1, 67% + 82

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW