January 16, 2022 5:04 AM CST

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys 1/16/2022

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Expect a close game with the San Francisco 49ers winning 47% of simulations, and the Dallas Cowboys 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The San Francisco 49ers commit fewer turnovers in 66% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. The Dallas Cowboys wins 84% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jimmy Garoppolo is averaging 266 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 55%. Dak Prescott is averaging 297 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (43% chance) then he helps his team win 55%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

San Francisco 49ersATS RECORDDallas CowboysATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-8-0All Games13-4-0Dallas Cowboys
Road Games4-4-0Home Games5-3-0Dallas Cowboys
When Underdog2-1-0When Favored10-3-0Dallas Cowboys
Non-Division Opp7-4-0Non-Division Opp7-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Dallas Cowboys

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

San Francisco 49ersATS RECORDDallas CowboysATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-8-0All Games9-7-0San Francisco 49ers
Road Games6-2-0Home Games5-3-0San Francisco 49ers
When Underdog5-1-0When Favored7-7-0San Francisco 49ers
Non-Division Opp9-4-0Non-Division Opp4-6-0San Francisco 49ers
Opp .500+ Record6-1-0Opp .500+ Record3-5-0San Francisco 49ers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco 49ersO-U-P RECORDDallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-9-0UNDER
On Road4-4-0At Home5-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season10-9-0All Totals Last Season10-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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