September 04, 2025 1:53 AM EST

Western Kentucky vs Toledo 2025-09-06 18:00:00.0

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Western Kentucky winning 41.0% of simulations, and Toledo 59.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Western Kentucky commits fewer turnovers in 21.0% of simulations and they go on to win 57.0% when they take care of the ball. Toledo wins 67.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. La'Vell Wright is averaging 62.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Junior Vandeross III is averaging 102.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -7.5 --- Over/Under line is 59.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Western KentuckyATS RECORDToledoATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 1-0-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-0-0Non-Conference Opp 1-0-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0Opp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Western KentuckyATS RECORDToledoATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 11-8-0All Games 7-8-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 100-10-00Home Games 0-7-0 No Edge
When Underdog 10-1-0When Favored 0-8-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 5-2-0Non-Conference Opp 3-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 4-2-0Opp Under .500 2-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Western KentuckyO-U-P RECORDToledoO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0UNDER
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 9-2-0All Totals Last Season 11-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-1-0At Home Last Season 6-0-0OVER

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