September 04, 2025 1:53 AM EST

Virginia vs North Carolina State 2025-09-06 11:00:00.0

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Virginia winning 53.0% of simulations, and North Carolina State 47.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Virginia commits fewer turnovers in 39.0% of simulations and they go on to win 64.0% when they take care of the ball. North Carolina State wins 70.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Chandler Morris is averaging 296.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. CJ Bailey is averaging 260.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST -2.5 --- Over/Under line is 53.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

VirginiaATS RECORDNorth Carolina StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 1-0-0All Games 0-1-0Virginia
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 0-1-0No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

VirginiaATS RECORDNorth Carolina StateATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 12-10-0All Games 8-15-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 110-00-00Home Games 0-14-0Virginia
When Underdog 10-0-0When Favored 0-13-0Virginia
Conference Opp 9-5-0Conference Opp 6-9-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 1-1-0Opp Under .500 1-3-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

VirginiaO-U-P RECORDNorth Carolina StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0UNDER
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 9-2-0All Totals Last Season 11-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 6-0-0At Home Last Season 7-1-0OVER

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