September 04, 2025 1:53 AM EST

Ole MissState vs Kentucky 2025-09-06 14:30:00.0

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Ole MissState is a heavy favorite winning 90.0% of simulations over Kentucky. Austin Simmons is averaging 176.0 passing yards and 0.9 TDs per simulation and Logan Diggs is projected for 96.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10.0% of simulations where Kentucky wins, Zach Calzada averages 0.06 TD passes vs 2.13 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.02 TDs to 2.33 interceptions. Dante Dowdell averages 58.0 rushing yards and 0.25 rushing TDs when Kentucky wins and 30.0 yards and 0.05 TDs in losses. Ole MissState has a 63.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KY +10.0 --- Over/Under line is 50.0

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Ole MissStateATS RECORDKentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 1-0-0All Games 0-1-0Ole MissState
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Favored 1-0-0When Underdog 0-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0Conference Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0Opp .500+ Record 0-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Ole MissStateATS RECORDKentuckyATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 11-9-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 00-00-00Home Games 3-9-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-0-0When Underdog 9-0-0No Edge
Conference Opp 0-0-0Conference Opp 7-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0Opp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Ole MissStateO-U-P RECORDKentuckyO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 1-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-1-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 0-0-0All Totals Last Season 7-3-0OVER
On Road Last Season 0-0-0At Home Last Season 4-3-0OVER

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