Texas is a heavy favorite winning 91.0% of simulations over Texas State. Arch Manning is averaging 373.0 passing yards and 3.6 TDs per simulation and Hollywood Smothers is projected for 171.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 9.0% of simulations where Texas State wins, Brad Jackson averages 2.01 TD passes vs 0.96 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.08 TDs to 1.5 interceptions. Torrance Burgess Jr. averages 120.0 rushing yards and 1.16 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 104.0 yards and 0.64 TDs in losses. Texas has a 59.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TEX -30.5 --- Over/Under line is 60.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Texas State | ATS RECORD | Texas | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 0-0-0 | All Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 00-00-00 | Home Games | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 0-0-0 | When Favored | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| Opp No Games Played | N/A | Opp No Games Played | N/A | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Texas State | ATS RECORD | Texas | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4-6-0 | All Games | 5-7-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 40-00-00 | Home Games | 0-7-0 | Texas State |
| When Underdog | 4-0-0 | When Favored | 0-7-0 | Texas State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-6-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-7-0 | No Edge |
| Opp No Games Played | N/A | Opp No Games Played | N/A | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas State | O-U-P RECORD | Texas | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-0-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| On Road | 0-0-0 | At Home | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 0-0-0 | All Totals Last Season | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
| On Road Last Season | 0-0-0 | At Home Last Season | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
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