September 23, 2025 8:36 AM EST

JMAD vs Louisville 2025-09-05 18:00:00.0

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Louisville is a solid favorite with a 74.0% chance to beat JMAD. Maurice Turner is projected for 256.0 rushing yards and a 0.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26.0% of simulations where JMAD wins, Alonza Barnett III averages 0.87 TD passes vs 0.72 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.4 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Alonza Barnett III averages 202.0 rushing yards and 1.76 rushing TDs when JMAD wins and 180.0 yards and 0.88 TDs in losses. Louisville has a 46.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80.0% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -13.5 --- Over/Under line is 55.5

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

JMADATS RECORDLouisvilleATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 2-0-0All Games 0-2-0JMAD
Road + Neutral Field 20-00-00Home Games 0-2-0JMAD
When Underdog 1-0-0When Favored 0-2-0JMAD
Non-Conference Opp 2-0-0Non-Conference Opp 0-2-0JMAD
Opp .500+ Record 1-0-0Opp .500+ Record 0-2-0JMAD

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

JMADATS RECORDLouisvilleATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-7-0All Games 12-11-0No Edge
Road + Neutral Field 70-10-00Home Games 2-10-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-0-0When Favored 2-10-0JMAD
Non-Conference Opp 6-4-0Non-Conference Opp 5-6-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record 3-3-0Opp .500+ Record 4-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

JMADO-U-P RECORDLouisvilleO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-2-0All Totals (O-U-P) 1-1-0UNDER
On Road 0-2-0At Home 1-1-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season 10-2-0All Totals Last Season 11-1-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-2-0At Home Last Season 4-1-0OVER

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